On the morning after France’s long night of terror, the language of
war has been impossible to avoid. President François Hollande
declared
the attacks on Paris “an act of war that was waged by a terrorist army,
a jihadist army, by Daesh [the Islamic State], against France.” The
Islamic State has
hailed the “
blessed” operation of its “soldiers” and has vowed continued attacks. Pope Francis has described the current state of events as “
a piece” of a piecemeal Third World War.
The weather in Paris today is grim and gray, a reflection of the
city’s somber mood. But as the French government prepares for a possible
military response, France’s military allies — including the United
States — would be wise to do the same. Paris would be within its rights
to expect NATO to play a meaningful role in organizing a significant
military response to the attacks.
In Brussels, at the political headquarters of NATO, and in Mons, the
military “Pentagon” of NATO just an hour south, officials will be
working through the weekend. The 28-nation alliance, after all, is
founded on one key premise enshrined in the Article 5 of its founding
treaty:
“The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in
Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all
and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each
of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective
self-defence recognised by Article 51 of the Charter of the United
Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked.” It is worth
noting that the only country to ever activate Article 5 was the United
States after the 9/11 attacks in 2001.
If France would like to become the second such country, the first
step would be to call for an Article 4 consultation, which would convene
the ambassadors of the 28 nations, who are in permanent session in
Brussels, to discuss the situation and decide a course of action. This
happened most recently in 2014, when Turkey requested an Article 4
meeting after the Islamic State attacks there.
It seems likely that an Article 4 meeting would conclude that the
Paris massacres, given their scale and scope, should be considered an
attack under Article 5. That would be entirely appropriate. The
terrorist attacks — assuming that the Islamic State is, in fact,
responsible for them — are the culmination of a long-running
humanitarian disaster in Syria that has destabilized the Middle East and
initiated the flow of millions of refugees into the heart of Europe.
NATO can no longer pretend the conflict does not affect its most basic
interests.
The
fundamental purpose of a NATO missionshould be to defeat the Islamic
state in Syria and destroy the infrastructure it has created there.
The
fundamental purpose of a NATO mission should be to defeat the Islamic
state in Syria and destroy the infrastructure it has created there.
Such a mission would have the additional benefit of demonstrating that
NATO is willing to act decisively when it is under threat.
Setting aside the internal disagreements that sometimes slow it down,
NATO is an imposing military force. NATO has tremendous military
resources at its disposal, including over 3 million troops under arms
(and more in reserve), over 25,000 military aircraft, 800 oceangoing
major combatant ships, and 50 AWACS aircraft. Meanwhile, the group’s 28
nations represent over 50 percent of global GDP.
A major NATO mission against the Islamic State would consist of a
number of smaller, practical steps. First, according to NATO’s treaty,
the incident must be referred to the U.N. Security Council. In terms of
international law, it would be ideal for the Security Council to endorse
a military response, though NATO would be capable of proceeding
regardless.
Second, the alliance should assign one of its major
joint commands
to lead the planning and conduct of any operational response. Since the
Allied Joint Force Command in Brunssum in the Netherlands is fully
engaged as the lead command for Afghanistan, the task would likely fall
to the other major
command:
the Allied Joint Force Command in Naples, Italy. This is the command
that conducted the intervention in Libya and is one that has significant
planning and operational experience, as well as deep connections to
coalition partners from the region — the United Arab Emirates, Jordan,
Qatar, and others. NATO’s military planners should aim to include not
only the alliance’s official members, but also its many coalition
partners, including Sweden, Finland, and other regional actors.
A third key initiative would be to prepare NATO special forces for a central role in military operations. NATO
Special Operations Headquarters
in Casteau, Belgium, should take the lead in organizing
intelligence-sharing among member states; it should also prepare the
alliance’s joint special forces to be deployed on the ground in Syria to
train and motivate anti-Islamic State fighters, gather firsthand
intelligence, conduct raids, and serve as spotters for NATO and
coalition aircraft.
Fourth, and most importantly in the long term, NATO should organize a
training mission to work with both the combined Kurdish
Peshmerga-Yazidi force operating in northern Iraq and the Iraqi security
forces in Baghdad. Jordan — which has highly capable ground troops —
should also be invited to participate at a high level. These efforts
could be
modeled on the NATO Training Mission-Iraq (NTM-I), which was in place from 2004 to 2011.
Fifth, the current U.S.-led bombing campaign in Syria and Iraq should
come under NATO leadership. NATO could then increase the assets
deployed in that mission by contributing additional aircraft, troops,
ordnance, and
AWACS
aircraft, whose powerful radar provide 360-degree coverage of air
battle space. NATO very effectively organized command and control over
airspace in Afghanistan, and it could do the same in the current
conflict.
Lastly, NATO should emphasize that it is building an “open
coalition,” one that can not only include the forces of traditional
allies, but also those of NATO’s traditional adversary, Russia. The
Russian government claims to want to defeat the Islamic State, and it
should have no lack of motivation, given the over 200 dead citizens —
including many women and children — who seem to have been massacred by
the Islamic State in the downing of a civilian aircraft just two weeks
ago. Russia should be invited to participate alongside NATO and other
coalition members against the Islamic State.
If the French seek strong NATO participation in a broad and lethal
campaign against the Islamic State, Americans must offer support. They
would be following the example set by the French on behalf of the United
States after 9/11, and, in an earlier century, during the American
Revolutionary War.
The Islamic State is an apocalyptic organization overdue for
eradication. It has beheaded and raped citizens from around the world;
has killed civilians in spectacular and horrific ways; has enslaved
young women and girls and sold them in open markets; and appears to have
brought down a commercial aircraft full of tourists. Now it has killed
Westerners execution-style in a city theater. There is a time for soft
power and playing the long game in the Middle East, but there is also a
time for the ruthless application of hard power. It is NATO’s
responsibility to recognize our current moment qualifies as the latter.
Photo credit: STEPHANE DE SAKUTIN/AFP/Getty Images