Ukraine slides into civil war amid Merkel’s bid to bridge US-Russian differences. Putin resigns responsibility
DEBKAfile Special Report May 3, 2014,
The Odessa fire - deadliest incident of Ukraine conflict
German Chancellor Angela Merkel bid during her visit
to Washington Friday, April 2, to bridge the differences between
Presidents Barack Obama and Vladimir Putin over Ukraine was overtaken by
events on the ground. That morning, the US-backed interim government in
Kiev launched its first serious offensive to retake the eastern
Ukrainian cities captured by pro-Russian militias, starting with
Slavyansk. In Odessa pro-Kiev gangs started a fire which left more than
40 militiamen dead.
Moscow’s reaction Saturday came directly from Putin’s office. His
spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: “Neither Russia, nor any other country,
can any longer influence citizens of Ukraine’s southeast… It will be
impossible now to talk them into laying down their weapons when their
lives are threatened by radicals, nationalists and armed forces that
obey criminal orders and murder their own people.”
It was also made clear that the May 25 election was off, as far as the Kremlin was concerned.
Those comments followed the German chancellor's failure to make any
headway on Ukraine in her White House interview with Obama, say
debkafile’s Moscow sources.
That the Merkel-Obama talks did not go well was evident in both their
remarks.The chancellor started by saying “We have a few difficulties to
overcome between security and protecting privacy.” She was not only
referring to the simmering scandal following last year’s revelation that
the US National Security Agency was eavesdropping on her private cell
phone calls; she also had in mind another intelligence issue between the
two governments: future collaboration between the US and German
agencies in Ukraine.
President Obama answered her with a piece of friendly advice: Germans
following the Ukraine story from Russia’s perspective should “stay
focused on the facts and what’s happening on the ground,” he said, and
keep in mind that “there just has not been the kind of honesty and
credibility about the situation” from Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Obama urged broader sanctions as the only way to make the Russian president see the light.
It was obvious that Obama and Merkel were far from being in accord on
Ukraine and on how Putin should be handled. Neither Merkel nor the
German BND spy agency subscribes to Obama’s unquestioning backing for
the interim government in Kiev.
And on Friday, they deeply resented the fact that on the day of Merkel’s
Washington visit, the Kiev regime was allowed to launch its most
serious military offensive against pro-Russian militias to date,
starting in Slavyansk and spiraling Saturday into heavy fighting 15
kilometers away in the eastern town of Kramatorsk and other places.
Moscow responded by declaring “no longer viable” the Geneva accords for
de-escalating the crisis reached in Geneva two weeks ago by the US,
Russia, the EU and Ukraine.
The German chancellor for her part viewed the timing of the Kiev
offensive as an American attempt to dictate to Berlin and Europe its
policy of harsh, unequivocal confrontation with President Putin - when
she had come to Washington to urge Obama to start listening to the
Russian president instead of turning a deaf ear.
The wide gap between them came into hard focus when a German reporter
at the press conference put a (possibly planted) question to Obama: Why
instead of those long, fruitless phone conversations with Putin,
doesn’t he try to meet him face to face and talk the Ukraine issue over
instead of telling him what to do.
The US president ignored the question.
Before deciding whether to continue to try her hand at mediating the
quarrel between the two presidents, Merkel faces two tough decisions:
1. Whether or not to line up behind Obama’s policy of broadening
sanctions against Russia until the Kremlin falls in behind Washington on
Ukraine.
The answer to this question is negative. At home, the industrial
giants that are the engines of Germany’s economic prosperity have lined
up against this course. Before she went to Washington, she faced a
powerful lobby of the chemical giant BASF SE, engineering group Siemens
AG , Volkswagen AG , Adidas AG and Deutsche Bank AG, urging her to stand
up to the US president against broader sanctions against Russia.
She can’t ignore them. Germany’s external trade is heavily weighted
in favor of ties with Russia and China rather than America and a third
of its gas comes from Russia. Furthermore, two former German chancellors
Helmut Kohl and Gerhard Schroeder are partners in Moscow’s state energy
concerns.
2. Merkel must also determine whether the BND will join US agents to
guarantee the May 25 election. At Friday’s news conference in
Washington, she noted that not much time is left to that date, a hint
that a postponement may be useful for developing dialogue with the
Russian ruler and action to cool the hotheads leading the civil
violence.
But Obama ignored her comment. Clearly, after giving the Kiev
government its head for a military offensive that morning, he was not
prepared to give up the prospect of the Ukraine military forcing its
will on the dozens of towns held by the pro-Russian militias and making
them take part in the vote.
Saturday morning, when it was not quiet clear where the
US-Russian-German dance over Ukraine was headed, the pro-Russian militia
of Slavyansk without prior notice suddenly released 12 military
observers, seven Europeans and 5 Ukrainian officers, a week after
seizing them. Among them were four Germans.
Word of their release came from Vladimir Lukin, an envoy sent by
Putin to negotiate the release. It was accompanied by a comment from
Moscow that it would be “absurd” to try and hold an election amidst a
civil war. The Russian president appeared to be signaling he was
amenable to certain concessions in return for postponing or calling off
Ukraine’s elections.
But when no positive reaction came from Washington, Putin took the
step of disowning responsibility for the violence spiralling in Ukraine.
After entering Kramatorsk, Ukrainian “anti-terrorism center” official
Vasyl Krutov told reporters Saturday afternoon: “What we are facing in
the Donetsk region and in the eastern regions is not just some kind of
short-lived uprising, it is in fact war.”