New York Times
By DAVID E. SANGER and ERIC SCHMITT
October 25, 2015
WASHINGTON
— Russian submarines and spy ships are aggressively operating near the
vital undersea cables that carry almost all global Internet
communications, raising concerns among some American military and
intelligence officials that the Russians might be planning to attack
those lines in times of conflict.
The issue
goes beyond old Cold War worries that the Russians would tap into the
cables — a task American intelligence agencies also mastered decades
ago. The alarm today is deeper: In times of tension or conflict, the
ultimate Russian hack on the United States could involve severing the
fiber-optic cables at some of their hardest-to-access locations to halt
the instant communications on which the West’s governments, economies
and citizens have grown dependent.
Inside the
Pentagon and the nation’s intelligence agencies, the assessments of
Russia’s increasing activities are highly classified and not publicly
discussed in detail. American officials are secretive about what they
are doing to both monitor the activity and find ways to recover quickly
if cables are cut. But more than half a dozen officials confirmed in
broad terms that it had become the source of significant attention in
the Pentagon.
“I’m worried every day about
what the Russians may be doing,” said Rear Adm. Frederick J. Roegge,
commander of the Navy’s submarine fleet in the Pacific, who would not
answer questions about potential Russian plans for cutting the undersea
cables.
Cmdr. William Marks, a Navy spokesman
in Washington, said: “It would be a concern to hear any country was
tampering with communication cables; however, due to the classified
nature of submarine operations, we do not discuss specifics.”
In
private, however, commanders and intelligence officials are far more
direct. They report that from the North Sea to Northeast Asia and even
in waters closer to American shores, they are monitoring significantly
increased Russian activity along the known routes of the cables, which
carry the lifeblood of global electronic communications and commerce.
Just
last month, the Russian spy ship Yantar, equipped with two
self-propelled deep-sea submersible craft, cruised slowly off the East
Coast of the United States on its way to Cuba — where one major cable
lands near the American naval station at Guantánamo Bay. It was
monitored constantly by American spy satellites, ships and planes. Navy
officials said the Yantar and the submersible vehicles it can drop off
its decks have the capability to cut cables miles down in the sea.
“The level of activity,’’ a senior European diplomat said, ‘‘is comparable to what we saw in the Cold War.”
One NATO ally, Norway, is so concerned that it has asked its neighbors for aid in tracking Russian submarines.
Adm.
James Stavridis, formerly NATO’s top military commander and now dean of
the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, said in an email last week
that “this is yet another example of a highly assertive and aggressive
regime seemingly reaching backwards for the tools of the Cold War,
albeit with a high degree of technical improvement.”
The
operations are consistent with Russia’s expanding military operations
into places like Crimea, eastern Ukraine and Syria, where President Vladimir V. Putin has sought to demonstrate a much longer reach for Russian ground, air and naval forces.
“The
risk here is that any country could cause damage to the system and do
it in a way that is completely covert, without having a warship with a
cable-cutting equipment right in the area,” said Michael Sechrist, a
former project manager for a Harvard-M.I.T. research project funded in
part by the Defense Department.
“Cables get
cut all the time — by anchors that are dragged, by natural disasters,”
said Mr. Sechrist, who published a 2012 study of the vulnerabilities of
the undersea cable network. But most of those cuts take place within a
few miles from shore, and can be repaired in a matter of days.
What
worries Pentagon planners most is that the Russians appear to be
looking at vulnerabilities at much greater depths, where the cables are
hard to monitor and breaks are hard to find and repair.
Mr.
Sechrist noted that the locations of the cables are hardly secret.
“Undersea cables tend to follow the similar path since they were laid in
the 1860s,” he said, because the operators of the cables want to put
them in familiar environments under longstanding agreements.
The
exception are special cables, with secret locations, that have been
commissioned by the United States for military operations; they do not
show up on widely available maps, and it is possible the Russians are
hunting for those, officials said.
The role
of the cables is more important than ever before. They carry more than
$10 trillion a day in global business, including from financial
institutions that settle their transactions on them every second. Any
significant disruption would cut the flow of capital. The cables also
carry more than 95 percent of daily communications.
So important are undersea cables that the Department of Homeland Security
lists their landing areas — mostly around New York, Miami and Los
Angeles — at the top of its list of “critical infrastructure.”
Attention
to underwater cables is not new. In October 1971, the American
submarine Halibut entered the Sea of Okhotsk north of Japan, found a
telecommunications cable used by Soviet nuclear forces, and succeeded in
tapping its secrets. The mission, code-named Ivy Bells, was so secret
that a vast majority of the submarine’s sailors had no idea what they
had accomplished. The success led to a concealed world of cable-tapping.
And
a decade ago, the United States Navy launched the submarine Jimmy
Carter, which intelligence analysts said is able to tap undersea cables
and eavesdrop on communications flowing through them.
Submarines
are not the only vessels that are snooping on the undersea cables.
American officials closely monitor the Yantar, which Russian officials
insist is an oceanographic ship with no ties to espionage.
“The
Yantar is equipped with a unique onboard scientific research complex
which enables it to collect data on the ocean environment, both in
motion and on hold. There are no similar complexes anywhere,” said
Alexei Burilichev, the head of the deepwater research department at the
Russian Defense Ministry, according to sputniknews.com in May 2015.
American concern over cable-cutting is just one aspect of Russia’s modernizing Navy that has drawn new scrutiny.
Adm. Mark Ferguson, commander of American naval forces in Europe, speaking in Washington this month, said the proficiency and operational tempo of the Russian submarine force was increasing.
Citing
public remarks by the Russian Navy chief, Adm. Viktor Chirkov, Admiral
Ferguson said the intensity of Russian submarine patrols had risen by
almost 50 percent over the last year. Russia has increased its operating
tempo to levels not seen in over a decade. Russian Arctic bases and
their $2.4 billion investment in the Black Sea Fleet expansion by 2020
demonstrate their commitment to develop their military infrastructure on
the flanks, he said.
Admiral Ferguson said that
as part of Russia’s emerging doctrine of so-called hybrid warfare, it is
increasingly using a mix of conventional force, Special Operations
mission, and new weapons in the 21st-century battlefield.
“This
involves the use of space, cyber, information warfare and hybrid
warfare designed to cripple the decision-making cycle of the alliance,”
Admiral Ferguson said, referring to NATO. “At sea, their focus is
disrupting decision cycles.”
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