New York Times
ZVECAN, Kosovo — In the densely forested mountains along the contested frontier between Serbia and Kosovo, a patrol of American soldiers under NATO
command trudged through snow and mud, keeping an eye out for smugglers
or anyone else trying to cross the border. Given the bloody legacy of
this area, the situation is quiet now, at least up here.
It is down below, in Serbia and Kosovo,
where old angers are resurfacing as the Balkan region that spawned so
much suffering over the last century is again becoming dangerously
restive. And once again, Russia is stoking tensions, as it seeks to
exploit political fissures in an area that was once viewed as a triumph
of muscular American diplomacy — but that now underscores the growing
challenges facing NATO and the European Union.
“Russia sees the West meddling in its backyard, and President Vladimir V. Putin
wants to show he can reciprocate,” said Dimitar Bechev, an expert on
Russia and the Balkans and head of the European Policy Institute in
Sofia, Bulgaria. “They see the Balkans as the West’s underbelly, and
they use it to throw their weight around and project power on the
cheap.”
Nearly 18 years after a United States-led intervention ended Serb domination of Kosovo,
the border patrols are part of the longest-running mission in NATO
history. Even as the European Union has made limited progress in
brokering a political settlement between Kosovo and Serbia, the presence
of NATO forces has maintained an uneasy peace, with animosity between
the minority Serbs and majority Albanian inhabitants of Kosovo still
palpable.
Yet NATO
is now confronting its own challenges, whether it is the seeming
ambivalence of President Trump toward the alliance or an increasingly
provocative Russia. The alliance has sent reinforcements to Poland and
the Baltic States to counter Russian actions, but Russian involvement in
the Balkans has gotten less attention.
Russia has deep historical ties with Serbia
and vehemently opposed NATO’s war over Kosovo in 1999. After an
American-led bombing campaign, Serbia lost control over the region but
continues to support Serbs there, vowing never to recognize the
sovereignty of Kosovo, which it considers the cradle of the Serbian
nation and of its Christian Orthodox faith. Mr. Putin has continued to
back Serbia, as well as Serbs living in Bosnia and Herzegovina — and
continued to dabble in the complex swirl of Balkan politics.
For
starters, Moscow supported Bosnian Serbs when they held a controversial
referendum in November that could lead to more — or even full —
independence from Sarajevo. A month later, Russia backed fringe
opposition parties in delicate national elections in Macedonia, another
former Yugoslav republic. The European Union had organized the election
to help bring the country back from the brink of collapse.
Continue reading the main story
In
Montenegro, Serbia’s tiny neighbor and a former Russian ally now set to
join NATO, the authorities said they had foiled an October coup attempt
that had been orchestrated by the Russians.
Then
in January, Moscow moved to help Serbia undermine Kosovo’s independence
by supporting a series of provocations that have damaged diplomatic
normalization efforts, known as the Brussels dialogue, that are
sponsored by the European Union. That process had recently produced a
small breakthrough, as Kosovo was about to get its own +383 calling
code.
Since
Kosovo declared independence in 2008, however, the ethnic
Albanian-dominated government in the capital, Pristina, has failed to
bring the predominantly Serb parts of the country north of the Ibar
River under its control, including Mitrovica, Kosovo’s second-largest
city.
But
as Kosovars were celebrating this breakthrough, the Serbs erected a
concrete wall separating the northern, predominantly Serb part of
Mitrovica from the ethnic Albanians in the southern part. It was built
on the Serbian side of the bridge that crosses the Ibar, a project that
the European Union funded in hopes of linking the divided communities.
European
Union officials furiously demanded that the wall come down, but the
Serbs remained defiant, forcing the official inauguration of the bridge
to be postponed. This month, concrete blocks of the wall were bulldozed,
but a metal barrier is still standing, blocking traffic and
pedestrians.
Most inflammatory, the Serbian government sent a Russian-made train from Belgrade to Mitrovica,
adorning its coaches with signs declaring that “Kosovo is Serbia” in
more than 20 languages. Kosovo stopped the train at the border, accusing
Serbia of wanting to stage an invasion of northern Kosovo, modeled on
Russia’s annexation of Crimea. Serbia, in turn, accused ethnic Albanians
of laying mines along the railway tracks and planning a bombing
campaign of Serbs and their holy sites.
Serbia’s
president, Tomislav Nikolic, who is thought to be backed by Russia as
he seeks a second five-year term in the April election, threatened to
send his troops back to Kosovo to protect the Serbs, if necessary.
“If
Serbs are killed, we’ll send the army to Kosovo,” Mr. Nikolic said
after the train episode, which was ostensibly intended to restore a line
that had been disconnected since the 1999 NATO bombing of the area. He
warned officials in Pristina against attempting to provoke a conflict,
saying it would “end badly.”
Russia’s
ambassador to Serbia, Aleksandr Chepurin, wrote in a recent editorial
in Serbia’s daily Politika that Moscow would support “Serbia in
preventing attempts to create an artificial pseudo-state of Kosovo.”
Milan
Nic, a Balkan analyst at the GlobSec Policy Institute, a think tank in
Bratislava, Slovakia, said that tough statements on Kosovo were common
during Serbian elections but that Serbia could never improve relations
with the European Union, let alone join it, by clinging to its former
southern province.
“If they truly want to improve lives of Serbs in Serbia,” Mr. Nic said, “they do need to give up on this illusion.”
Col.
Corwin Lusk, the American commander of NATO’s multinational battle
group in eastern Kosovo, agreed that the Serbian elections were fueling
the angrier statements and that Russia was playing games, though he was
skeptical that Moscow wanted a direct confrontation in the Balkans.
“It
would be very irrational behavior because it’s a fight they could not
win,” he said. “It’s a fight nobody would walk away from without scars
and bruises.”
Many
ethnic Albanians and Serbs living in Kosovo fear another round of war.
Roughly 120,000 Serbs live in northern Kosovo, near the Serbian border,
and mostly embrace the nationalistic fervor of Belgrade. But there are
70,000 other Serbs scattered in southern Kosovo who feel more exposed to
retaliation.
Continue reading the main story
In the town of Decani, in southwest Kosovo, 20 Serbian monks are holed up a 14th-century Serbian Orthodox monastery,
which is recognized as a Unesco world heritage site and is being
protected by NATO troops to prevent assaults from non-Serbs. The abbot
of the monastery, Father Sava Janjic, said the nationalistic talk from
Serbia “often comes back to us like a boomerang.”
“Every
time they call me from Serbia, they ask: ‘Is there war? Are they trying
to kill you?’’’ said Father Janjic, 52. “I tell them, ‘No, they are
not.’ There is no war. I can’t lie. But the situation is far from rosy.”
NATO’s
task in the region is deeply complex. Troop levels have dropped to
about 5,000 over the past decade, including 650 American soldiers, and
their job includes border patrols as well as navigating the
sensitivities of an ethnically divided region.
In the absence of an army of their own, most ethnic Albanians see NATO troops as protectors of their state in Kosovo.
“They
are here to defend us from the Serbs when they want to storm back,”
said Belkiza Sahatqiu, 46, a mother of three, who works in a shoe store
in the Serbian-part of Mitrovica.
Many
Serbs living in Kosovo, however, describe the alliance’s forces as
occupiers more than protectors, said Lilijana Milic, who owns a farm
along the highway between Mitrovica and Pristina.
“They
are not protecting anybody, certainly not us,” she said. “They came to
occupy this land, and now they sit in their bases. Where were they when
people were chased out of their homes in broad daylight?”
At
the same time, Ms. Milic blamed Serbian politicians in Belgrade for the
misfortune of Kosovo’s Serbs. “They just talk, talk, talk, talk about
defending us,” she said, “but all they ever do is take care of their own
interests.”
n interests.”
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