SManalysis: Greece - Turkey: Γιατί πρέπει να προετοιμαζόμαστε για πιθανή δραματική επιδείνωση των τουρκικών προκλήσεων

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Greece - Turkey: Γιατί πρέπει να προετοιμαζόμαστε για πιθανή δραματική επιδείνωση των τουρκικών προκλήσεων

25/10/2016

Tου Δρ Κωνσταντίνου Γρίβα*

Ίσως η πιο επικίνδυνη παγίδα στην οποία μπορεί να πέσει η ελληνική εξωτερική πολιτική είναι να θεωρήσει ότι οι διαρκείς αμφισβητήσεις της ελληνικής κυριαρχίας στο Αιγαίο είναι κάτι που οφείλεται στον Ερντογάν και αν ήταν κάποιος πιο «μετριοπαθής» στη θέση του τότε τα πράγματα θα ήταν καλύτερα. Εξίσου επικίνδυνη είναι η άποψη ότι όλα αυτά γίνονται για «εσωτερική κατανάλωση».

Κατά την άποψη του γράφοντος, ο επιθετικός αναθεωρητισμός της Τουρκίας αποτελεί περίπου αυτόματο προϊόν της μετατροπής του διεθνούς συστήματος σε πολυπολικό και της ανάδυσης της Τουρκίας ως υποψήφιας δύναμης ευρασιατικού βεληνεκούς, δηλαδή ως ενός από τους πόλους ισχύος αυτού του νέου παγκόσμιου συστήματος.

Κατά συνέπεια, ακόμη και αν το Αιγαίο δεν είχε τη σημασία που έχει στον παγκόσμιο γεωπολιτικό χάρτη, πάλι για λόγους γοήτρου η Τουρκία θα προσπαθούσε να το ελέγξει, δεδομένου ότι δεν μπορεί μια μεγάλη δύναμη να μην έχει υπό την κυριαρχία της μια αλυσίδα νησιών που βρίσκονται τόσο «προκλητικά» κοντά στις ακτές της.

Ωστόσο, το Αιγαίο δεν έχει μόνο συμβολική σημασία για την Τουρκία. Είναι μια περιοχή κρίσιμης σημασίας για την τουρκική στρατηγική αλλά και την παγκόσμια γεωπολιτική αρχιτεκτονική γενικότερα.

Με τον έλεγχο του Αιγαίου, η Τουρκία θα εξασφαλίσει ένα αντίβαρο απέναντι στην πρωτοκαθεδρία του Ιράν στο Ιράκ και τη Συρία και θα αποκτήσει ένα κρίσιμο πλεονέκτημα έναντι της Αιγύπτου, η οποία αποτελεί το μεγάλο της ανταγωνιστή στην Ανατολική Μεσόγειο.

Κυρίως όμως, η κυριαρχία στο Αιγαίο θα προσφέρει στην Τουρκία τη δυνατότητα να διατηρήσει την επισφαλή ισορροπία της ανάμεσα στις ΗΠΑ και τη Ρωσία και να εξελίξει περαιτέρω την στρατηγική αυτονόμησής της από τους ισχυρούς δρώντες του πλανήτη και μετατροπής της σε αυτόνομο ευρασιατικό πόλο ισχύος.

Δεν είναι λοιπόν ο Ερντογάν το πρόβλημα. Βαθιές δομικές αλλαγές στη γεωπολιτική ταυτότητα της Τουρκίας και του ίδιου του διεθνούς συστήματος είναι οι παράγοντες που την ωθούν προς αυτήν την κατεύθυνση. Ακόμη και μια γνησίως και ειλικρινώς ειρηνόφιλη κυβέρνηση στην Άγκυρα, αργά ή γρήγορα θα κατέληγε σε αυτήν την στρατηγική επιθετικού αναθεωρητισμού.

Με άλλα λόγια, θα πρέπει να προετοιμαζόμαστε για πιθανή δραματική επιδείνωση των τουρκικών προκλήσεων σε βάθος χρόνου.

* Ο Δρ Κωνσταντίνος Γρίβας είναι Αν. Καθηγητής Γεωπολιτικής στην Στρατιωτική Σχολή Ευελπίδων(ΣΣΕ) και διδάσκει Γεωγραφία της Ασφάλειας και των Αφοπλισμών στο Τμήμα Τουρκικών και Σύγχρονων Ασιατικών Σπουδών του Πανεπιστημίου Αθηνών

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Pyrros Dimas, meeting with the Greek Minister of Labour, for problem of pensions to the Northern Ep

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Dhermi, (Drymades, Himara Region) between natural beauty and destruction Look at those videos, before in 2010, everything natural and in 2012 the differences, the big changes how are divided Mafia plots, see whose investments are shown, with the camera of a sportsman parachute, in Long Beach "Perivolo" in Dhrymades, the Himara Region. Look at how this summer 2012, the Concessions of Mafia provided by The Himara Counsil Municipality and the Government of Albania, have become a reality. The Sand Beach Drymades, is transformed in the sidewalks and kiosks. See how they are transformed Dhermi, in a few years, in an administrative center, disrupting also balance the religious and ethnic composition of himariotes.

Robert Elsie: If I would live in Albania, it would be crazy. It is the same as in Ottoman times

After known albanolog Milan Shufla, Robert Elsie is the best conteproranean albanian albanolog in the World During his intereweu on "Top Channely TV, Robert Elsie, on his first interview on TV. expresed his story about Albanian and Albanian state in 100 years. An interesting tale scholar known for his work difficulties in view of the Albanian language. Elsie, who knows Albanians for years, amounts to a chilling conclusion. He says he will not ever live in Albania, as it will go mad. "I can not live here. It's a little wild for me, the relationships between people are a bit wild. I know that is just a facade that inside have good spirit, but have a rabies in human relations. You know how to protect yourself here, and here I am like a rabbit, he can not defend myself. I come here with pleasure, but do not believe they can afford to come and live here forever. There is much frustration of everyday life. Life is too short and I do not have time to bump into obstacles, only to achieve something, when in another country and get away and then live my life, "said Elsie to Albanian. And while Enver Hoxha's Albania as compared with that of Sali Berisha, adds: "There is something that depends only on the party, it's more the attitude of the people. So to get something going, you have to know someone in the Ministry, to drink coffee with, then drink coffee again next week with even a third time, and then he connects with the person that you are interested . That is the same as in Ottoman times, not like a normal country. ".

Greece, is going to Plan B: grant for 600 thousand Greek citizenship, at the Consulates

Failure of the Census in Albania, apparently, has forced Athens, put in place, going to Plan B to its foreign policy, grant citizenship to all Hellenic Community of Northern Epirus (Greek passports) through three Greek consulates in Albania. According to “The Albanian newspaper Gazeta Shqiptare”, in a statement issued by the Greek Consul in Argjirokaster, Nikolaos Kotroxois, will begin soon, giving the Greek passports to Albanian citizens of Greek descent, who have applied for years. The decision is taken, after Athens, has used all diplomatic sources to have to Tirana, the same wavelength, particularly in geopolitical matters, particularly Kosovo. In his statement, the Greek Foreign Minister Stavros Dimas, noted, that Tirana, continues to show towards Greece, feeling not sincere cooperation, while simultaneously calling for the right to self-determination of the Greek community in Albania.

BERISHA: GREATER ALBANIA, WE LOST TERRITORIES

he Albanian Prime Minister held a meeting with Prishtina University students, in which he argued why he is against the unification of Albania with Kosovo and why both countries would lose, if borders would be changed. “The vital interest of the Albanians is to preserve the current borders, and the Albanians should not accept, at any cost, to lose a single square meter of the land they are entitled to. Another redraw of the borders would mark undeserved losses of the Albanian territories. We must be patient, free, and should not undertake any action that threatens territorial losses. Every generation has to make its duty, and this generation made it”, Berisha declared.

Dimas:"The Greek ethnic Community in Albania has the right of free of charge self-determination"

The reliability of the results of population census in Albania, in terms of minority groups, directly challenging the foreign minister Stavros Dimas, diaminyontas same time that the Respect for human and minority rights is … crucial criterion for the progress of the accession method of our neighbor. In a letter sent to the Home in response to a question from a Member of LA.OS K. Aivaliotis, Dimas says that “the foreign ministry has closely followed all the developments surrounding the census in Albania, even though produced timely plays, both bilateral and European level to make sure the integrity process and unimpeded registration of members of the Greek National Minority, and each location of residence of such ». As outlined, the “Selection of the representatives of the main minority groups, including the Greek National Minority, invite their members to abstain in protest not guaranteed to respect the right of free of charge self-determination, showed a significant deficit of trust minority in the Albanian state, which ought to itself the Albanian government to address priority ».

Crazy Albanian Constitutional Court decision: "There are only Albanians, no greeks"

Gines: The Himara Region, 7500 issues for civil and criminal proceedings for robbery properties

While the total population in Himara Municipality, does not exceed 12 thousand inhabitants, a source from the prosecution of Vlora, shows that the problems of ownership at the squirrels region have reached the 7500 court proceedings and special investigations, which marks a world record, by how a country like Albania, could not manage the right of ownership, in one of the areas attacked by the Albanian mafia and international. However, the U.S. Department Report for 2004 on human rights in Albania, states clearly that in the Himara Municipality, the community lands and the Orthodox Church, was robbed by a Courts with false documents, supported by the Office of Propetry Registration in Albania.

Arben Puto: Albania has declared war against Greece first

WB returns to Ionian Riviera residence reconstruction

Another World Bank project is being executed with the help of the Albanian authorities for the reconstruction of the residences in Albania’s southern coastline. The 625.000 USD project aims to protect and promote the values of the Albanian national architecture in the Southern part of the country, in order to prevent destruction and abandonment of the traditional houses. “Shqip” newspapers says that the Ministry of Public Works is the WB partner in the “Roofs and Facades” project. The implementation of the program has started in the villages classified as participators: Dhermi i Vjeter, Qeparo i Vjeter, Ilias, Vuno, Himare e Vjeter, Piqeras, Nivice and Luksht. The World Bank will finance 70% of the restauration cost, with a maximum of 7000 USD, while the program “Accommodation and Breakfast” will finance 50 of the restoration cost, with a maximum of 5,000 USD. The program “Roofs and Facades” aims to restore 72 houses in 18 months. 20 of them will adopt with the conditions of modern life, in the framework of the program “Accommodation and Breakfast”.

First step to Greater Albania: Kosovo Opens First Highway Section

A 38 kilometre-tranche of the road, which will eventually cross the country from the Albanian to Serbian border, was opened on Saturday. The first section, which runs from Vermica on the Albanian border to close to the town of Suhareka, cost 330 million euro. Senior Kosovo and Albania government officials were present at the inauguration ceremony. In a speech, Kosovo’s President Atifete Jahjaga said that the "highway has the role of linking nations and countries". "It is our link with important European corridors. Our coordinated policy will make us a free and equal members of the European Union," she added. Named the "Ibrahim Rugova Highway", after Kosovo's most famous president, the road connects with Albania's first highway, which was also built by the Turkish-American consortium Bechtel-Enka.

Himarrioton Society of America

The Himarriotans of America, motivated by the love of Himarra, the land of their native origin, and dedicated to the noblest ideals of their forfathers, have established this organization which aspires to the cultivation and preservation of Himarriotic culture in America, to making a positive difference in the lives of its members, and to promoting the rights and interests of the Himarriotans in Himarra, through the realization of patriotic, charitable, philanthropic, educational and cultural endeavors.

Opinion in Kosovo: "Socialists in Albania, are filo Greek"

The Chairman of the Opposition in Albania, Edi Rama, accused by the press in Kosovo that "he is with filo Greek sentiments" If, Sali Berisha, Albania's current prime minister, is expected both in Macedonia and Kosovo, as president of the Albanian nation, this has not happened with the chairman of the opposition in Albania, Edi Rama. During a recent visit to Kosovo, Edi Rama is unpopular, the fact that the perception of public opinion in Kosovo, is that the south, is the area close to Greece, but especially Rama and the Socialist Party, was accused of holding a position filo Greek, against the interests of Greater Albania.

SManalysis

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Greece - Turkey: Γιατί πρέπει να προετοιμαζόμαστε για πιθανή δραματική επιδείνωση των τουρκικών προκλήσεων

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